Advanced analytics are as much a part of the NHL these days as sticks, pucks and visors. Every team uses the study of advanced data in some manner.
That’s why San Jose Hockey Now’s data-driven story about the star potential of draft prospects caught my attention. Writer Sheng Peng reports a data scientist has concluded Swedish left William Eklund has the highest star potential among the draft candidates. Eklund’s star potential is five times the star potential owned by University of Michigan defenseman Owen Power. Power is expected to be drafted No. 1 overall.
According to data scientist Patrick Bacon’s projections, here are the top five in terms of likelihood for stardom:
- William Eklund 71.25 %
- Cole Sillinger 62.52 %
- Dylan Guenther 50.04 %
- Matthew Coronato 45.48 %
- Brandt Clarke 38.58 %
I spent the last two months working on NHLe and Prospect Projection Models, my most ambitious (and favorite) project so far. In case you missed anything, here’s all the content which came from it (THREAD):
All model outputs from 2006 through 2021:https://t.co/vicoYKNpLL
— Patrick Bacon (@TopDownHockey) July 4, 2021
Trade Rumor of the Day
Athletic sportswriter Jeremy Rutherford reported Wednesday that St. Louis Blues star Vladimir Tarasenko wants out of St. Louis. Rutherford said Tarasenko is unhappy about how the team treated his injuries.
Tarasenko has a no-trade clause, allowing him to control where he goes. The best guess is he would accept trades to the New York Islanders, New York Rangers and Edmonton Oilers. Russian players historically appreciate the large Russian population in New York. And who wouldn’t want a chance to play with Connor McDavid? Would bet he would also accept the Florida Panthers, Montreal Canadiens and Pittsburgh Penguins.
Around the NHL
- Defenseman Nate Schmidt wants to leave Vancouver. Harsunder Singh H. Schmidt discusses trade possibilities..
- Pittsburgh Hockey Now’s Dan Kingerski examines what the Penguins can take away from the Stanley Cup Final
- Now that the Stanley Cup Final is completed, team buyouts can start tonight. Martin Jones? Zach Parise? Daily Faceoff writer Frank Seravelli offers a list of buyout candidates.